At WWDC this year Apple teased us with a preview of their dramatically redesigned 10th major update to iOS, iOS 10. Earlier I explored historical data to determine that the iPhone 7 would likely come out on Friday, September 23rd, 2016, and I use the same logic to figure out when we’ll see the release of iOS 10.
Apple is fairly consistent with the release cycles for their products and software. iOS releases have seen some changes, as has the iPhone, but after compiling all of the data I believe I have nailed down the actual release date for iOS 10.
With the exception of iOS 5, Apple has released new versions of iOS an average of 101 days after announcing them to the world. That date is usually 2 days prior to the release of new iPhone hardware. iPhone OS 1, 2, and iOS 5 are notable exceptions – launching alongside a new iPhone. Additionally, iOS 9 launched to the public a full 9 days prior to the release of the iPhone 6s.
Since I previously determined that the iPhone 7 will go on sale on September 23rd, it’s easy to guesstimate that iOS 10 will launch nine days prior, on Wednesday, September 14th, 2016. This should mirror the release of iOS 9, signaling Apple’s interest in getting iOS releases out to the public earlier and often. An earlier release date than most previous years, coupled with the ongoing iOS 10 public beta, allows Apple to identify and correct any major flaws in iOS 10 prior to the launch of the iPhone 7.
Now we just get to wait and see!