The official announcement of a new version of iOS – version 7 – at WWDC 2013 can be seen as the trumpet heralding the upcoming release of new iPhone hardware. It is widely expected that Apple will follow its tradition of iPhone updates and release an incremental update to the iPhone 5, the iPhone 5S this fall.
Check out our prediction for the iPhone 5S release date after the break:
Apple began releasing iPhones in the fall starting with the iPhone 4S – released on October 11 in the US in 2011. Prior to that, new iPhone hardware was released in the summer. All previous versions – with the exception of the iPhone 3G – were released in June. Starting with the 4S, September and October have been the months of choice. With the release of iOS 7 coming “this fall,” there’s no chance that we’d see new iPhone hardware launching before that.
Fall actually starts on September 22 this year, so we’re hoping that Apple is being a little loose in their definition. They were with iOS 6, announcing it would be available three days prior to the official start of fall.
But when will the actual announcement for the iPhone 5S come?
New iPhone hardware has traditionally been announced at WWDC on a Monday in early June. The iPhone 4S was the first iPhone to break the WWDC announcement tradition, and the iPhone 5 did as well. Once announced, a new iPhone releases an average of 42 days later. This changed with the fall release of the iPhone 4S and iPhone 5 – the new average is 9.5 days. We expect the iPhone 5S to follow the latter.
With the exception of the iPhone 3G and 4S, each new generation of iPhone has been announced at least 1 day prior to the announcement of the previous model, generally in the second week of the month. Because of this, we expect the iPhone 5S to be announced in early September.
We’re pegging Tuesday, September 10th, 2013 as the date for the iPhone 5S. We expect the release to happen 10 days later, on Friday, September 20th, 2013.
Get ready to lock in those trade-in values for your old iPhone 5!